Gameweek hauls

1V.Easy 2Easy 3Medium 4Hard 5V.Hard
GW # Player Pos Team Score vs FPL FDR FDR atk FDR def GW signal (ICT) Pts Mins M  G A CS £ (GW) Commentary
2 1 B.Fernandes MID
TOT
0–2 NEW 2 26.10 23 90 3 1 0 12.0 Far above naive GW XP (~3.48 pts) even after a plush fixture (lag + minutes weighted), so icing on the cake rather than sneakiness. Involvement read: ICT 26.10.
2 2 Cherki MID
MCI
1–4 CRY 3 17.20 14 81 2 0 0 7.7 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~2.52 forecast vs 14.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 17.20.
2 5 Haaland FWD
MCI
1–4 CRY 3 12.00 13 90 2 0 0 15.5 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~2.72 forecast vs 13.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 12.00.
2 4 Groß MID
BHA
4–3 CHE 4 10.40 13 90 1 1 0 5.5 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~3.23 forecast vs 13.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 10.40.
2 3 Gibbs-White MID
NFO
2–2 LIV 4 8.60 13 90 1 1 0 7.9 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~3.23 forecast vs 13.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 8.60.
2 7 Tarkowski DEF
EVE
1–1 BOU 3 8.50 12 90 1 0 0 6.0 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~3.13 forecast vs 12.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 8.50.
2 6 Scott MID
BOU
1–1 EVE 3 10.10 12 86 1 0 1 6.0 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~3.36 forecast vs 12.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 10.10.
2 12 Saka MID
ARS
0–1 AVL 4 9.30 11 90 1 0 1 9.5 Above GW ridge XP (≈3.7) by +7.30 pts — strong but still somewhat tethered to the model context (testing on the official fixture scale). Involvement read: ICT 9.30.
2 9 Dedić DEF
NEW
0–2 TOT 3 7.30 11 90 0 1 1 4.5 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~2.4 forecast vs 11.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 7.30.
2 10 Hall DEF
NEW
0–2 TOT 3 7.00 11 90 0 0 1 5.1 Comfortably beats pre-GW ridge XP (~2.7 forecast vs 11.0 actual) — clear upside versus the calibrated lag/FDR/minutes signal. Involvement read: ICT 7.00.
2 11 Mbeumo MID
MUN
5–2 IPS 2 12.40 11 90 1 1 0 8.0 Above GW ridge XP (≈3.48) by +7.52 pts — strong but still somewhat tethered to the model context (very kind on the official fixture scale). Involvement read: ICT 12.40.
2 8 Calafiori DEF
ARS
0–1 AVL 4 4.20 11 90 0 1 1 5.6 Above GW ridge XP (≈3.14) by +7.86 pts — strong but still somewhat tethered to the model context (testing on the official fixture scale). Involvement read: ICT 4.20.
2 14 Tzolakis GKP
HUL
0–1 COV 2 2.60 10 90 0 0 1 4.5 Roughly in line with ridge XP (5.52 forecast vs 10.0 actual; very kind on the official fixture scale) — walk-forward GW model broadly vindicated. Involvement read: ICT 2.60.
2 13 Schade MID
BRE
1–1 LEE 3 9.10 10 87 1 0 0 6.0 Above GW ridge XP (≈3.51) by +6.49 pts — strong but still somewhat tethered to the model context (average on the official fixture scale). Involvement read: ICT 9.10.
1 1 De Cuyper DEF
BHA
4–0 AVL 3 12.90 17 77 1 1 1 4.7 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 12.90.
1 2 Hinshelwood MID
BHA
4–0 AVL 3 14.50 16 63 2 0 1 6.0 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 14.50.
1 3 Mendy DEF
HUL
2–0 MUN 4 8.50 15 63 1 0 1 4.0 GW1 haul — testing on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 8.50.
1 5 M.Sangaré MID
BRE
3–0 TOT 3 7.40 14 75 0 2 1 5.7 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 7.40.
1 4 Ajayi DEF
HUL
2–0 MUN 4 7.90 14 63 1 0 1 4.1 GW1 haul — testing on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 7.90.
1 8 Stach MID
LEE
0–1 NFO 3 6.60 13 90 1 0 1 6.0 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 6.60.
1 7 Palmer MID
CHE
2–3 FUL 3 16.10 13 82 1 1 0 9.6 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 16.10.
1 6 Kayode DEF
BRE
3–0 TOT 3 8.10 13 75 1 0 1 4.6 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 8.10.
1 9 Gakpo MID
LIV
2–2 NEW 3 4 4 11.50 12 90 1 0 0 7.0 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 11.50.
1 12 White DEF
ARS
3–0 COV 2 7.30 11 90 0 1 1 5.5 GW1 haul — very kind on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 7.30.
1 11 João Pedro FWD
CHE
2–3 FUL 3 11.10 11 90 1 1 0 7.7 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 11.10.
1 10 Dewsbury-Hall MID
EVE
2–0 CRY 3 9.80 11 90 1 0 1 6.5 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 9.80.
1 13 Ødegaard MID
ARS
3–0 COV 2 12.30 11 75 1 0 1 6.6 GW1 haul — very kind on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 12.30.
1 18 Tavernier MID
BOU
2–1 MCI 5 7.50 10 90 1 0 0 6.0 GW1 haul — testing on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 7.50.
1 19 Tzolakis GKP
HUL
2–0 MUN 4 3.50 10 90 0 0 1 4.5 GW1 haul — testing on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 3.50.
1 17 Lewis-Potter MID
BRE
3–0 TOT 3 8.20 10 90 1 0 1 5.5 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 8.20.
1 16 Justin DEF
LEE
0–1 NFO 3 2.90 10 90 0 0 1 4.5 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 2.90.
1 14 Bijol DEF
LEE
0–1 NFO 3 3.90 10 90 0 0 1 5.0 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 3.90.
1 15 Guéhi DEF
MCI
2–1 BOU 3 8.90 10 90 1 0 0 6.0 GW1 haul — average on the official fixture scale.GW1 has almost no usable lag history inside this ridge model (first round of returns). Compare with fixture difficulty only. Involvement read: ICT 8.90.

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